2026 Western Pacific typhoon season
Tropical Storm Koguma 2026
LiveLast fix at 7 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
Koguma 2026 current status
Tropical Storm Koguma 2026 is currently about 315 nautical miles southwest of Wake Island, with maximum sustained winds of 50 kt. The latest JTWC forecast takes Koguma west-northwest at first, then turning northwest. Koguma (JTWC designation 27W) is active in the Western Pacific. At 7 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, it was located at 15.7°N, 162.6°E with winds of 58 mph / 93 km/h (tropical storm strength) and a central pressure of 995 hPa, moving at 8 kt. JTWC warning 11, issued 7 Oct 15:00 UTC, puts it at 26.6°N, 146°E by 12 Oct 12:00 UTC, with forecast winds peaking at 120 kt (138 mph / 222 km/h) on 10 Oct 00:00 UTC.
58 mph / 93 km/h; peak so far 55 kt
Lowest so far 992 hPa, 7 Oct 2026
9 mph / 15 km/h
880 km travelled as of 7 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
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LATEST WARNING
Koguma 2026 forecast track
When JTWC issued warning 11, Koguma was about 315 nautical miles (583 km) southwest of Wake Island and had tracked west-northwestward at 6 kt (7 mph / 11 km/h) over the previous six hours. JTWC reported a minimum central pressure of 995 hPa and significant waves of up to 22 ft (6.7 m).
JTWC rates the environment around Koguma as marginally favorable: vertical wind shear of 15–20 kt, sea-surface temperatures of 30–31 °C and moderate poleward and westward outflow.
JTWC rates its confidence in the track forecast as high for the first 72 hours and medium after that, and in the intensity forecast as medium throughout. It made no significant changes from the previous warning.
Forecast positions and winds from JTWC warning 11
| Forecast time | Lead | Position | Wind | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0 h | 15.7°N, 162.6°E | 50 kt | Tropical storm | |
| +12 h | 16.4°N, 161°E | 55 kt | Tropical storm | |
| +24 h | 17.3°N, 159°E | 70 kt | Typhoon, Category 1 | |
| +36 h | 18.1°N, 156.8°E | 95 kt | Typhoon, Category 2 | |
| +48 h | 19.1°N, 154.3°E | 110 kt | Typhoon, Category 3 | |
| +60 h | 20.3°N, 152.1°E | 120 kt | Typhoon, Category 4 | |
| +72 h | 21.7°N, 150.1°E | 120 kt | Typhoon, Category 4 | |
| +96 h | 24°N, 147.3°E | 115 kt | Typhoon, Category 4 | |
| +120 h | 26.6°N, 146°E | 95 kt | Typhoon, Category 2 |
This warning plots 9 positions over 120 hours. Winds strengthen from 50 kt to a peak of 120 kt on 10 Oct 00:00 UTC, then ease to 95 kt. Times are UTC and winds are one-minute sustained.
QUICK ANSWERS
Koguma 2026: where it is and where it is going
Where is Tropical Storm Koguma now?
At 7 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the latest JTWC fix, Tropical Storm Koguma was at 15.7°N, 162.6°E in the Western Pacific, moving at 8 kt. The position updates with each JTWC advisory.
What is Koguma’s current wind speed?
50 kt (58 mph / 93 km/h) one-minute sustained at 7 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, with a central pressure of 995 hPa. Its peak so far is 55 kt (63 mph / 102 km/h) on 7 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC.
Where is Koguma 2026 headed?
The JTWC forecast (warning 11, issued 7 Oct 15:00 UTC) takes Koguma west-northwest at first, then turning northwest, reaching 26.6°N, 146°E by 12 Oct 12:00 UTC, with forecast winds peaking at 120 kt (138 mph / 222 km/h) on 10 Oct 00:00 UTC.
Will Koguma become a typhoon?
The JTWC forecast brings Koguma to 120 kt (138 mph / 222 km/h) by 10 Oct 00:00 UTC, which is typhoon strength (64 kt or more): it would then be Typhoon Koguma 2026.
What is the latest JTWC forecast for Koguma?
JTWC warning 11, issued 7 Oct 15:00 UTC, with 9 forecast positions to 12 Oct 12:00 UTC. They are listed in the forecast track table on this page and drawn on the map.
When and where did Tropical Storm Koguma form?
In the Western Pacific basin, in the 2026 season. Its first recorded position is 10.5°N, 168°E on 5 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC.
Has Tropical Storm Koguma made landfall?
No position so far places Tropical Storm Koguma’s center over land, but positions are six-hourly and a brief landfall can fall between them.
METHODOLOGY
Data sources and limitations
The map and summary are generated from NOAA’s IBTrACS v04r01 archive, with provisional positions from the JTWC operational best track; post-season analysis revises them. Wind and category use US-agency records; minimum pressure is calculated during the tropical stage, with the archive’s pressure source retained. Categories refer to the Saffir–Simpson one-minute wind scale; local agencies may use different classifications. Coastlines use Natural Earth’s 1:10m land data.
Track distance adds great-circle distances between consecutive observations, excluding gaps over 12 hours. This track has no gaps over 12 hours. The line shows the storm’s center, not its size, rainfall or flood extent. Converted wind speeds are rounded to the nearest whole unit.
Archive retrieved ; live tracks fetched
NOAA IBTrACS archive and Field documentation
Sources & methodology