2026 Eastern Pacific hurricane season
Tropical Storm Vance 2026
LiveLast fix at Oct 21, 2026, 09:00 PM UTCFollow every storm on the live hurricane tracker.
Vance 2026 current status
Tropical Storm Vance 2026 is currently at 9.4°N, 99.8°W in the Eastern Pacific, with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. The latest NHC forecast takes Vance west-northwest at first, then turning north-northwest. Vance (NHC designation 22E) is active in the Eastern Pacific. At Oct 21, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC, it was located at 9.4°N, 99.8°W with winds of 40 mph (tropical storm strength) and a central pressure of 1003 mb, moving at 8 mph. NHC advisory 2, issued Oct 21 09:00 PM UTC, puts it at 15.8°N, 105.2°W by Oct 26 06:00 PM UTC, with forecast winds peaking at 121 mph on Oct 24 06:00 AM UTC.
40 mph; peak so far 40 mph
Lowest so far 1003 hPa, Oct 21, 2026
8 mph
730 mi travelled as of Oct 21, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC
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LATEST FORECAST
Vance 2026 forecast track
The cone on the map is the likely path of the centre; impacts reach beyond it. For warnings, use NHC and your local weather service.
Forecast positions and winds from NHC advisory 2
| Forecast time | Lead | Position | Wind | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| +0 h | 9.4°N, 99.8°W | 40 mph | Tropical storm | |
| +12 h | 9.5°N, 100.5°W | 52 mph | Tropical storm | |
| +24 h | 9.8°N, 101.3°W | 69 mph | Tropical storm | |
| +36 h | 10.4°N, 102.1°W | 92 mph | Hurricane, Category 1 | |
| +48 h | 11.2°N, 102.7°W | 109 mph | Hurricane, Category 2 | |
| +60 h | 11.9°N, 103.1°W | 121 mph | Hurricane, Category 3 | |
| +72 h | 12.8°N, 103.5°W | 115 mph | Hurricane, Category 3 | |
| +96 h | 14.5°N, 104.3°W | 104 mph | Hurricane, Category 2 | |
| +120 h | 15.8°N, 105.2°W | 98 mph | Hurricane, Category 2 |
This advisory plots 9 positions over 120 hours. Winds strengthen from 40 mph to a peak of 121 mph on Oct 24 06:00 AM UTC, then ease to 98 mph. Times are UTC and winds are one-minute sustained.
QUICK ANSWERS
Vance 2026: where it is and where it is going
Where is Tropical Storm Vance now?
At Oct 21, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC, the latest NHC fix, Tropical Storm Vance was at 9.4°N, 99.8°W in the Eastern Pacific, moving at 8 mph. The position updates with each NHC advisory.
What is Vance's current wind speed?
40 mph one-minute sustained at Oct 21, 2026, 09:00 PM UTC, with a central pressure of 1003 mb.
Where is Vance 2026 headed?
The NHC forecast (advisory 2, issued Oct 21 09:00 PM UTC) takes Vance west-northwest at first, then turning north-northwest, reaching 15.8°N, 105.2°W by Oct 26 06:00 PM UTC, with forecast winds peaking at 121 mph on Oct 24 06:00 AM UTC.
Will Vance become a hurricane?
The NHC forecast brings Vance to 121 mph by Oct 24 06:00 AM UTC, which is hurricane strength (74 mph or more): it would then be Hurricane Vance 2026.
What is the latest NHC forecast for Vance?
NHC advisory 2, issued Oct 21 09:00 PM UTC, with 9 forecast positions to Oct 26 06:00 PM UTC. They are listed in the forecast track table on this page and drawn on the map.
When and where did Tropical Storm Vance form?
In the Eastern Pacific basin, in the 2026 season. Its first recorded position is 10.6°N, 89.2°W on Oct 18, 2026, 06:00 PM UTC.
Has Tropical Storm Vance made landfall?
No position so far places Tropical Storm Vance's center over land, but positions are six-hourly and a brief landfall can fall between them.
METHODOLOGY
Data sources and limitations
The map and summary are generated from NOAA's IBTrACS v04r01 archive, with provisional positions from the NHC operational best track; post-season analysis revises them. Wind and category use US-agency records; minimum pressure is calculated during the tropical stage, with the archive's pressure source retained. Categories refer to the Saffir–Simpson one-minute wind scale; local agencies may use different classifications. Coastlines use Natural Earth's 1:10m land data.
Track distance adds great-circle distances between consecutive observations, excluding gaps over 12 hours. This track has no gaps over 12 hours. The line shows the storm's center, not its size, rainfall or flood extent. Converted wind speeds are rounded to the nearest whole unit.
Archive retrieved ; live tracks fetched
NOAA IBTrACS archive and Field documentation
Sources & methodology